Friday 26 November 2010

The dollar heads yet higher

Sterling fell to its lowest level for one month against the US dollar, bottoming out at $1.5614. With very little data out today, the pound’s just a spectator to broader market flows into the US currency. Britain’s strong links with the eurozone, which is having another torrid day in the markets, aren’t helping.

The euro’s falling after a report in the FT Deutschland said the majority of eurozone nations and the ECB were urging Portugal to apply for a bailout. Borrowing costs for Europe’s most indebted nations are at a record high as concerns reach fever pitch over several EU member states. The average yield for 10 year bonds from Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Spain and Italy reached 7.56%, its highest level since the inception of the single currency.

The dominating theme in the markets at the moment is one of risk aversion. With South Korea and America flexing their muscles on North Korea’s horizon with a series of sea trials, fears of a full on war are taking their toll on the market. The greenback has soared to a seven week high against the Japanese yen and the euro, hitting Y83.95 and €1.3204 respectively. Until a calmer sentiment descends on the market, we can also expect to see higher yielding currencies taking a step back as they have today.

Have a nice weekend and come on England!

Tom Hampton
Analyst – Caxton FX