Wednesday 11 August 2010

Risk aversion returns

Following dovish statements from both the Fed and the BoE, there appears to have been as shift in risk sentiment a safe haven currencies make big gains on the day.


Ben Bernanke announced last night that the Fed would be taking measures to stimulate the US economy, however, it would not be going as far as full quantitative easing. Likewise, Mervyn King today revised the UK’s growth predictions down while raising inflation figure expectations. These bearish moves plus poor global economic data all weak have moved sentiment towards risk aversion, sending the dollar well over 1.5 cents up against both sterling and the euro on the day.

Worse than expected figures from the US could be elevating the Japanese yen (and to a lesser extent the Swiss franc) to the position of the world’s favoured safe haven as it has risen to a 15 year high against the dollar.