Tuesday 28 September 2010

Sterling’s intra-day rise and fall

Sterling had a fairly bullish morning to hit highs of €1.1809 and $1.5895, before taking a tumble against every one of its major counterparts after a member of the Monetary Policy Committee expressed his views for more quantitative easing.

The pounds rally began this morning as dollar selling continued after reported comments from a former Chinese central bank advisor said that a devaluation of the US currency was inevitable. The ascent gathered more momentum as the revised CBI (Core Business Index) figure showed consumer spending had risen sharply last month when a fall was expected. Positive results in the UK’s Current Account and last quarter’s GDP figure kept the upward trend going until................ BOOM! Adam Posen, a member of the MPC said “I think further monetary easing is needed.” He went on to outline that it should begin with additional gilt buying, before leading into full fiscal stimulus and corporate debt purchase to avoid a “Japanese style scenario.”

These bearish comments have since sent the UK currency to intraday lows of €1.1680 and $1.5722.

In other news, the euro continues its demolition of the US dollar to climb to a high of $1.3509, despite ongoing concerns over the health of the European banking industry (with Ireland the focus at present) and the eurozone’s ability to meet escalating sovereign debt.