Monday 22 November 2010

Afternoon euro weakness

On a day with very little economic data, the euro has erased early gains following an initial agreement to rescue Irish banks to prevent wide spread ‘illness’ across the eurozone’s debt markets.

The single currency had reached a one week high against the greenback and ended a four week losing streak against sterling, hitting $1.3786 and £1.1606 respectively. The highs came after EU finance ministers said the deal will create a capital fund for Irish banks and is estimated to be worth about €90billion (rumours are abundant as you’d imagine).

Ireland’s request for a bailout makes it the second euro member to seek rescue from the EU and IMF. Speculation about the financial stability of other member states has led to fears that the single currency is in fact just a bankruptcy machine working its way through the region. This will of course be music to the ears of many euro skeptics (myself included) like the Swede’s whose national referendum stopped Sweden joining the common currency. How the powers that be ever thought so many individual economies could be brought together in harmony is/was ludicrous. Each economic area needs to retain certain elements of monetary policy to ensure the best possible trading conditions for their own economy. This may explain why in the early 2000’s, Germany’s economy was at its most sluggish since world war II, however, Ireland was deserving of the nick name the ‘Celtic Tiger.’ Who is roaring now?

Tom Hampton

Analyst – Caxton FX