Thursday 25 November 2010

Déjà vu

With a quiet data calendar and little fresh news out the eurozone, today’s trading pattern smells very similar to yesterday. The euro has made up some of its lost ground over lunch, following a disappointing morning.

This morning, the euro traded near a two month low against the US dollar as rising borrowing costs in Spain and Portugal fanned the flames of concern that Europe’s debt issues will worsen. If the single currency has its fourth straight drop against the greenback, it would be its longest losing streak for three months. Reports that capital is leaving the periphery nations has put the 16 nation currency under even further pressure. The recent decline in Spanish bonds has come despite reassurance from the Spanish Deputy Finance Minister that the nations funding for the rest of the year is ‘comfortable.’ The fact that it has even come into question seems to be concern enough for the market.

The euro’s bounce after lunch could well be due to very thin trading volumes today as America loosens its belt in preparation for roast turkey and pumpkin pie. Happy thanks giving!

Tom Hampton
Analyst – Caxton FX